Geopolitics · Economics · Markets · Companies
Principal judgement · machine-scale coverage

The value is in the
synthesis.

Delphic Strategies works at the intersection of geopolitics, economics, markets, and company analysis — producing advisory and research that treats these as one problem, not four. For decision-makers whose exposures already cross those lines.

DEALUAE-led 90+ country UN coalition signals diplomatic acceleration[D-62]
SIEGETrump–Xi Beijing summit closes without joint communiqué[D-69]
STRIKEIDF strike package observed at Nevatim — readiness, not commitment[D-71]
SALVOHormuz tanker AIS gaps cluster east of Larak; insurance premia up 14%[D-73]
PROXYHouthi Red Sea posture quiet on second consecutive weekly window[D-75]
DEALOman back-channel reactivated; deputy-level meeting confirmed for May[D-77]
SIEGEEU JCPOA snapback timer commitment held back from final declaration[D-79]
STRIKECENTCOM exercise schedule extended into June review window[D-80]
DEALUAE-led 90+ country UN coalition signals diplomatic acceleration[D-62]
SIEGETrump–Xi Beijing summit closes without joint communiqué[D-69]
STRIKEIDF strike package observed at Nevatim — readiness, not commitment[D-71]
SALVOHormuz tanker AIS gaps cluster east of Larak; insurance premia up 14%[D-73]
PROXYHouthi Red Sea posture quiet on second consecutive weekly window[D-75]
DEALOman back-channel reactivated; deputy-level meeting confirmed for May[D-77]
SIEGEEU JCPOA snapback timer commitment held back from final declaration[D-79]
STRIKECENTCOM exercise schedule extended into June review window[D-80]
01 · Synthesis

One question, four lenses.

A sovereign decision rarely fits inside a single discipline. We read it as a single problem with four legible dimensions — geopolitics, macro, markets, company — and report the parts of the answer that only become visible once they are read together.

02 · Discipline

Calibrated, not confident.

Where the question admits of it, we attach probabilities, not adjectives. Where it does not, we say so. Scenario frameworks, base-rate reasoning, and explicit catalyst calendars sit behind the work — visible to clients, never to consensus.

03 · Bespoke

Mandates, not subscriptions.

Engagements are scoped to a question a client actually needs answered — a position, a counterparty, an exposure, a thesis under stress. Standing coverage exists where a topic warrants it; off the rack does not.

The Instrument

Built around
the principal,
scaled by the machine.

A single analyst can no longer read enough to be honest about a cross-domain question. The published surface of the four domains we cover — primary documents, secondary commentary, market data, filings, satellite and shipping signal, transcripts — is now beyond what a human reader can hold.

Delphic Strategies treats this as an instrument problem. Frontier AI systems do the work that benefits from scale: continuous monitoring across thousands of sources, cross-domain pattern-matching no individual could hold in working memory, first-pass synthesis at a breadth a desk of analysts could not cover. The principal does the work that does not: framing the question, judging the synthesis, weighting what matters, owning the call.

Breadth

Coverage that scans the full published surface of a question, not a curated subset.

Continuity

Live monitoring against tracked catalysts, not periodic reviews.

Synthesis

Cross-domain pattern reading that holds more variables than working memory allows.

The instrument is operationally present; the judgement is not delegated. Reports carry the principal's name because they carry the principal's call.

Selected Work

What an engagement looks like.

A non-exhaustive sample of recent mandates and current coverage. Client identities are not disclosed. Full reports sit behind the client terminal.

CRISIS COVERAGEStanding · Active

Iran inflection point — scenarios and fundamentals, paired.

Two documents that read together. Each is a window into the other; we maintain both for the duration of the crisis.

Scenarios

Iran–Hormuz framework

Five-track probability framework — Deal · Strike · Siege · Salvo · Proxy — updated against a tracked catalyst calendar. Currently in its eightieth day.

Fundamentals

Global oil supply & demand

The crude balance under each scenario branch: capacity, inventories, flows and routes, OPEC+ posture, sanctions and SPR. What the underlying market can and cannot absorb.

Crisis-specific. Maintained through the inflection and into renormalisation; may continue as periodic coverage thereafter.

COMPANYBespoke · Delivered

Greek systemic bank — NPE & capital diagnostic

Bespoke dossier. Cleanup math against a face-value buyout offer, capital cushion compression, group-holdings monetisation. Branded for a third-party broker.

ON REQUESTBespoke

Other mandates — by introduction

Single-question dossiers across sovereign credit, sector and company diagnostics, and cross-domain policy reads. Scoped to the actual question; not productised.

The Firm

Delphic Strategies is a research and advisory practice founded in 2015 by Inachos Lazos — twenty-six years across investment banking and global macro hedge funds. Based in Dubai, with regular presence in London, Athens, and New York.

Clients include institutional investors, family offices, and corporates whose exposures cross more than one domain. Identities are confidential. New engagements by introduction or referral.

About the principal